Financial Market Summary and Outlook

February 6, 2017

FDP Header Financial Market

January 2017

Good vs. Average

2016 was a very good year for diversifed portfolios as returns
were boosted by exposure to diversifer asset classes, meant to
provide additional risk adjusted return over time. This is a
welcome turnaround from 2015, when most diversifer asset
classes trailed large cap US stocks as represented by the S&P 500
Index. If you use the S&P 500 Index as your yardstick, then
2016 turned out to be an average year for stocks. Going back to
1928, the average annual return, including reinvested dividends,
runs nearly 10% (NY Stern School of Business data). When the
year had ended, the S&P 500 rose 9.54%. Throw in dividends
and 2016 rose 11.96% (Morningstar). Mid-cap and smaller
company shares topped 20%.. SEE MORE…..

Index Graphic

A Look Back at 2016

The year finished on a solid note, but 2016 didn’t start out that
way. Falling oil prices, worries about China, an upward lurch in
junk bond yields, and overblown fears of a recession took a big
toll on investor sentiment. CNNMoney pointed out that the first
ten days of the year were the worst start for the Dow in its history
– that’s going all the way back to 1897. To compound the angst,
comparisons to 2008 were rife. However, this wasn’t 2008, there
wasn’t a subprime crisis that was brewing, and shares touched
bottom in early February (St. Louis Federal Reserve). SEE MORE….
































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